Saturday, 05 January 2013

What to expect in the second SA - NZ test

In a two test match series between South Africa and New Zealand South Africa won the first match at Newlands, Cape Town, rather easily thanks to a dismal performance by the New Zealand batsmen. NZ were bowled out for 45 in their first innings. Yes that is correct, 45, with Vernon Philander getting the first 5 wickets and finishing with 5-7 in six overs. Kane Williamson was the only batsmen to get double figures. He made 13 runs. 

South Africa followed it up with an excellent 347/8 declared. Alviro Petersen made a very good 106. New Zealand batted quite well in their second innings making 275. Their star in their make-up effort was Dean Brownlie who scored 109 runs, making his first test century. In the end South Africa won by an innings and 27 runs. Philander received the man of the match. The game saw Jacques Kallis reach 13 000 test runs and Dale Steyn reach 300 test wickets. 

Kallis is now the fourth leading test run scorer of all time and Steyn is the fourth leading South African test wicket taker of all time - if you're into records, which I am.

Vernon Philander took 5 wickets for 7 runs in New Zealand's first innings. Picture taken from http://tvnz.co.nz 
What I would expect in the second and last test: Firstly I believe there is almost no chance of another South African bowler getting 5-7. I believe that the New Zealanders will work hard on all forms of their game in the break and I don't think South Africa will be able to bowl them out for less than 100 in either of New Zealand's innings, and probably not less than 150 in either. 

I think that the South Africans will find it tougher against a more determined New Zealand bowling attack, as well as more resolute fielders, (the NZ batsmen, without saying, will improve). Nevertheless I think the South African team will strive all the more and put in the effort needed to win the second test. The Proteas will most likely bat well, bowl well and field well and beat New Zealand. This is not certainty though, you never know what might happen.

I don't expect the South African team to change. New Zealand must be wishing they had Daniel Vettori, Timothy Southee and Ross Taylor. I do expect the Black Caps to make one or two changes though, mostly to their batting line up. 

On a side-note, since the Proteas are in such a good position in this test series and look like they are going to win the next game; and since they only have 3 really good experienced fast bowlers, maybe it would be prudent to give a chance to a new, possibly young, fast bowler. But that would mean one of the three super stars would have to sit out. Who would you drop? and who would you put in? I'm not saying anything, just putting that out there.

New Zealand's batsman Doug Bracewell is
Doug Bracewell was bowled by Dale Steyn in NZ's first innings, giving Steyn his 300th test wicket. Image taken from http://www.guardian.co.uk

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